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I have been on Metier the past two runs, but I am going to make australian casino online no deposit bonus the switch now and get on the Appreciate it bandwagon, as I simply do not see him being beaten despite him getting caught on the hill last year. Barring these two I really do not see anything else causing too much fuss, and actually think it looks a fairly weak supreme novices race in comparison to other years.

I think the top two in the market will want some rain to fall between now and the 16th, but course officials always make the course good to soft at least on the opening day, and that should be enough to not warrant real australian casino major concerns. I could try and make a case for some outsiders, but a few of them have been heavily beaten already by the selection and make no logical sense to reverse the form. Metier is an unknown and could pose a huge danger, but I am going for a good start for Ireland and Mullins. Shishkin was being touted as one of the bankers of the week before the Irish monster that is Energumene emerged from the shadows, we now have a real race on our hands, and in all honesty I think Energumene has the stronger form this season. That is not saying an awful lot as he has not beaten too much in small fields, but he clearly likes the track, will enjoy the fast pace set and will finish strongly. I think Energuemene is going to go off at a blistering pace probably chasing Allmankind initially who will run freely at the front, he himself has come on this season, and put in some decent performances, but I really struggle to see him landing any serious blow on the top two in the market. I do expect Energuemene to take control as the race unfolds, which will set up the great match up at the end, for which I think Shiskin will sweep late. It will not be much in it, but I think he does get his nose in front when it matters, and for this reason I will be siding him. I was at the track last year and was really happy for the team behind the conditional (despite being on the 2nd in Kildisart, who just needed another few yards). It is always a great thing for the sport when the smaller stables have their day in the sun. This looks to be a wide-open handicap, and one race that I will be having smaller stakes on.

Happygolucky for the brilliant Bailey and Bass is likely to head the market and being a big fan of this combination, I would not begrudge a win, to get their week off and running.

He ticks a lot of boxes being off a fair mark, but he shows worrying signs when he jumps, and I think a couple of mistakes will be his undoing. Favourites also have a bad record in this race, and I think there lies better value elsewhere. Now I am a big fan of Coko Beach and think it possesses a cracking chance, but the uncertainty of Elliott has made me swerve this horse, even though it would have done most of its hard work, I still think the Gigginstown horses will struggle during the week. This horse probably represents one of the greatest chances for Gigginstown during the whole week, but with everything going on live casino australia I am going to swerve their horses this year. That brings me to my other pick who is Storm Control, and despite not having the ideal prep by pulling up last time, I think the distance was wrong, and this step back down in trip will suit perfectly.

I am willing to put a line through its last race as I think the step up in distance did not suit. Hopefully it is delivered as late as possible and will be strong at the line. Back then I thought it would be a straight shoot out between Epatante and Saint Roi, but after a very disappointing run last time out from Epatante, losing to the impressive Silver streak, along with a disastrous season for Saint Roi and as a result being pulled from the race, the Mcmanus banker no longer looks the case, add a couple more variables of Goshen looking like the horse of old after a frankly shocking summer on the flat, and Honeysuckle being switched from the great canadian casino river rock Mares, it now looks a different race altogether. I was at Cheltenham last year when Honeysuckle beat Bennie Des Dieux, and not many people gave her a chance of winning that race, I did and have always supported her, and after a sluggish start to the season where niagara falls canada casino she scrambled home, she has developed into an even more magical mare.

This was evident when she trounced some good horses recently, and it is impossible to see any of those reverse the form.

They have questions still to answer whilst Honeysuckle comes here in the form of her life, nz casinos online and for this reason I simply cannot ignore her.

A worthy mention must go to Silver streak was extremely unlucky against song for someone in the international but showed the class when he put Epatante well in her place last time out reversing the form for the champion Hurdle last year. He has improved markedly this season, and he must come into calculations for a fiercely run race.

I cannot see him getting to Honeysuckle though with the mares allowance she receives. This on paper looks to be one of the best races of the festival, and the inevitable strong pace is surely going to suit some more than others. Abracadabras will want to be delivered as late as possible, as that horse does not like having his nose in front too much ,If they go fast he should be finishing fast, but he was comfortably beaten by Honeysuckle last time and Honeysuckle is another who will be craving a strong speed. Is the mares allowance fare, perhaps not when they are as good as Honeysuckle, but she is who I am siding with, and leaving that question for another day. The thrill of us almost scooping a big payout as a group is what racing is all about, sadly that day she was pipped to the line, but she has come on leaps and bounds this season, and comes to the race with excellent form, but I am going to oppose her… Mullins fans will be rolling their eyes, as she looks one of the stables hottest picks but I cannot get away from Roksana. She won this race 2 years ago and has some excellent form to her name. Dan Skelton who has had a great season, and continues to improve as a trainer, I think he is going to have a few winners at the festival and by his own admission, this is his strongest chance. Those are some powerful words when you look at some of australian casino online no deposit bonus his other runners, but it was her last run where she travelled so smoothly into the race and finished it off in style.

She also has an entry for the stayers, but she has already been beaten if not by much by two of her rivals and cannot see her reversing that form. That is also a hotter race in my opinion, and she will have a stronger chance of replicating her success in the Mares from 2019, without the likes of Honeysuckle and australian casino online no deposit bonus Bennie to deal with from last year.

I would want a fast pace, and to make it a real test to play into her strengths.

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Concertista is the obvious danger but if Roksana is within range at the last then I see her reeling her in as they approach the line, resulting in another heartbreaking defeat for Concertista at the festival. The issue that makes this tricky is not only knowing what horses at the top of the market will run in the race, but also the whole Elliott saga makes this particularly relevant with the Juveniles, as you would expect these younger horses to fair worse with the sudden change of surroundings.

Until a couple of weeks ago, I would have thought Quilixios would have been one of the best bets of the festival for this race. Elliott generally does very well in this race, and this was one of his better Juveniles. Obviously things have changed, and he is now with a new trainer in De Bromhead, who is an excellent trainer in his own right, but I worry with the recent changes for a young horse, so close to the festival.

If Quilixios runs, and is anywhere near his best and is unfased by the recent changes, then he wins, despite being off a big weight. He is a super talent and beat the second in the market Saint Sam by a mere 5 and a half lengths, and it could have been more. Connections will want to avoid the triumph which is posing to be a real tricky race, and Quilixios despite probably going off at top weight should have more than enough for these rivals on a normal occasion. I do want to bring your attentions though to a couple of other horses both at slightly bigger odds firstly Sage Advice who creeps in at low weight. Before this it beat Tinnahalla who has gone onto win since, so I think the form looks fair and is a big price. The other who I think is a big price is Teahupoo but this suffers the same problems as Quilixios where it is an Elliott trained horse however this horse has not yet moved stable. This horse has won 3 from 3 over hurdles and beat a progressive horse in Druids Altar in one of those races, off a fair mark, and there looks lots more progression to come.